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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 25.8 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice 1–1 Lille | 1.17–1.33 | 33% · 27% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Marseille 2–1 Reims | 1.04–0.77 | 41% · 32% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
| PSG 0–0 Lorient | 1.24–0.12 | 67% · 30% · 4% | Draw against the xG: PSG had 67% |
| Brest 3–2 Lens | 2.55–0.71 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Brest |
| Clermont Foot 2–4 Monaco | 1.75–2.46 | 27% · 19% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Nantes 1–2 Toulouse | 1.06–1.22 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Toulouse |
| Montpellier 2–2 Le Havre | 1.62–1.10 | 49% · 25% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rennes 5–1 Metz | 4.28–0.37 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Strasbourg 2–1 Lyon | 1.28–1.77 | 28% · 23% · 49% | Won against the xG: Strasbourg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.