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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 23.8 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont Foot 0–1 Nice | 0.48–2.06 | 7% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Nice |
| Reims 1–0 Lorient | 0.78–0.42 | 41% · 41% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Reims |
| Lens 4–0 Nantes | 3.91–1.01 | 87% · 8% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Brest 2–3 PSG | 1.86–2.13 | 35% · 21% · 45% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Lille 2–0 Monaco | 0.50–0.58 | 25% · 45% · 30% | Close call, Lille won |
| Metz 0–0 Le Havre | 0.55–0.68 | 25% · 41% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Montpellier 3–0 Toulouse | 3.07–1.24 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Montpellier |
| Rennes 1–1 Strasbourg | 1.14–0.96 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Marseille 3–0 Lyon | 2.24–0.18 | 85% · 13% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.