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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 29.4 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon 1–0 Nice | 0.94–0.79 | 37% · 34% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Lille 3–0 Le Havre | 3.78–0.61 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Lille |
| Nantes 0–2 PSG | 1.33–1.71 | 30% · 24% · 46% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Strasbourg 1–3 Lorient | 1.49–2.07 | 28% · 21% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Lorient |
| Rennes 3–1 Clermont Foot | 3.74–0.85 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Monaco 1–2 Toulouse | 1.67–1.48 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Close call, Toulouse won |
| Montpellier 3–0 Metz | 3.01–1.29 | 72% · 15% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Montpellier |
| Reims 1–1 Lens | 1.13–1.24 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brest 1–0 Marseille | 1.76–0.56 | 67% · 22% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Brest |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.