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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 26.8 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes 3–3 Monaco | 1.03–3.32 | 8% · 11% · 81% | Draw against the xG: Monaco had 81% |
| Marseille 2–0 Brest | 2.97–1.53 | 67% · 16% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
| PSG 3–1 Lens | 1.52–0.47 | 63% · 25% · 11% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Rennes 2–2 Le Havre | 3.22–0.40 | 90% · 7% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Rennes had 90% |
| Strasbourg 2–0 Toulouse | 3.38–0.31 | 93% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
| Clermont Foot 0–1 Metz | 0.54–1.09 | 18% · 33% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Metz |
| Montpellier 1–3 Reims | 0.95–1.39 | 26% · 27% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Reims |
| Lorient 4–1 Lille | 1.45–1.07 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Lorient |
| Nice 0–0 Lyon | 1.95–0.20 | 80% · 17% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Nice had 80% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.