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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 31.3 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse 0–3 Brest | 0.88–1.63 | 20% · 25% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Brest |
| Lorient 5–0 Clermont Foot | 4.30–0.83 | 92% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Lorient |
| Monaco 4–0 Nantes | 1.49–0.95 | 50% · 26% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Lille 2–2 Nice | 1.22–0.86 | 44% · 29% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lyon 2–1 Strasbourg | 2.85–1.15 | 72% · 15% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Reims 2–1 Rennes | 1.33–1.49 | 34% · 25% · 41% | Close call, Reims won |
| Lens 2–2 Montpellier | 5.25–0.82 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Lens had 96% |
| Le Havre 1–2 Marseille | 1.80–1.53 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Close call, Marseille won |
| Metz 0–2 PSG | 0.87–2.04 | 15% · 20% · 65% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.