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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 22.7 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG 2–3 Nice | 0.95–1.30 | 27% · 28% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Nice |
| Rennes 2–2 Lille | 0.45–1.01 | 16% · 35% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lens 0–1 Metz | 2.04–0.28 | 80% · 16% · 4% | Won against the xG: Metz |
| Lorient 2–2 Monaco | 0.90–1.78 | 19% · 23% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Monaco had 58% |
| Strasbourg 2–2 Montpellier | 2.50–1.13 | 67% · 17% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Strasbourg had 67% |
| Clermont Foot 0–1 Nantes | 1.28–0.94 | 44% · 28% · 27% | Won against the xG: Nantes |
| Reims 1–2 Brest | 1.98–1.60 | 47% · 22% · 32% | Close call, Brest won |
| Marseille 0–0 Toulouse | 1.51–0.74 | 56% · 26% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Marseille had 56% |
| Lyon 0–0 Le Havre | 1.49–0.78 | 54% · 26% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Lyon had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.