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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 23.0 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg 0–1 Lens | 0.29–0.75 | 13% · 43% · 43% | Close call, Lens won |
| Clermont Foot 0–0 PSG | 1.05–3.06 | 10% · 13% · 77% | Draw against the xG: PSG had 77% |
| Monaco 3–2 Marseille | 1.02–1.01 | 35% · 31% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Reims 2–0 Lyon | 2.05–0.73 | 68% · 20% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Reims |
| Toulouse 3–0 Metz | 1.34–0.69 | 52% · 28% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Toulouse |
| Nice 0–0 Brest | 1.22–0.16 | 65% · 30% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Nice had 65% |
| Le Havre 0–2 Lille | 0.83–1.25 | 25% · 29% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Lille |
| Lorient 0–3 Montpellier | 0.98–2.85 | 10% · 14% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Montpellier |
| Rennes 3–1 Nantes | 2.68–1.00 | 73% · 15% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.