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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 24.3 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre 1–4 PSG | 0.21–2.87 | 1% · 8% · 91% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Brest 1–5 Marseille | 1.32–2.38 | 20% · 19% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
| Reims 0–2 Lille | 0.07–2.10 | 1% · 13% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Lille |
| Monaco 1–0 Saint Etienne | 1.96–0.45 | 74% · 19% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Auxerre 2–1 Nice | 1.96–0.71 | 67% · 20% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Auxerre |
| Montpellier 1–1 Strasbourg | 1.41–0.91 | 49% · 27% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Toulouse 0–0 Nantes | 1.71–0.47 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Toulouse had 68% |
| Angers 0–1 Lens | 0.39–1.23 | 12% · 30% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Rennes 3–0 Lyon | 2.05–2.06 | 40% · 20% · 40% | Close call, Rennes won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.