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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 29.4 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reims 0–2 Lens | 0.85–1.82 | 17% · 23% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Rennes 5–0 Saint Etienne | 3.36–0.11 | 95% · 4% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Brest 3–1 Strasbourg | 2.46–1.02 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Brest |
| PSG 1–1 Nantes | 2.73–0.65 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Draw against the xG: PSG had 81% |
| Montpellier 2–2 Lille | 1.47–2.22 | 25% · 20% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Lille had 55% |
| Le Havre 0–1 Angers | 0.17–2.15 | 2% · 14% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Angers |
| Toulouse 2–0 Auxerre | 2.33–0.12 | 88% · 11% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Toulouse |
| Lyon 4–1 Nice | 2.86–2.16 | 53% · 18% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Marseille 2–1 Monaco | 1.94–1.02 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.