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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 23.0 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse 2–1 Saint Etienne | 1.41–0.52 | 59% · 27% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Toulouse |
| Marseille 1–1 Lille | 1.27–1.44 | 33% · 26% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Auxerre 2–2 Lens | 0.58–1.61 | 13% · 24% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Lens had 63% |
| Reims 0–0 Monaco | 1.51–1.30 | 42% · 25% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Montpellier 2–2 Nice | 1.97–1.12 | 57% · 22% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Montpellier had 57% |
| Rennes 2–0 Angers | 0.56–0.36 | 33% · 48% · 19% | Close call, Rennes won |
| Le Havre 0–3 Strasbourg | 0.86–0.99 | 30% · 32% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
| Brest 4–1 Nantes | 1.99–1.15 | 57% · 22% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Brest |
| PSG 3–1 Lyon | 2.88–1.46 | 67% · 16% · 17% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.