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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 23.9 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier 2–1 Monaco | 2.41–1.85 | 51% · 19% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Montpellier |
| Lille 2–1 Nice | 1.12–2.93 | 12% · 14% · 74% | Won against the xG: Lille |
| Lens 1–2 PSG | 0.72–1.23 | 22% · 30% · 48% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Rennes 1–2 Brest | 1.46–0.99 | 48% · 26% · 26% | Won against the xG: Brest |
| Lyon 0–0 Toulouse | 0.74–1.23 | 22% · 30% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Saint Etienne 1–1 Nantes | 0.82–1.35 | 23% · 28% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Reims 1–1 Le Havre | 0.78–0.94 | 29% · 34% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Angers 2–0 Auxerre | 0.93–0.70 | 39% · 35% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Angers |
| Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg | 2.92–0.80 | 80% · 12% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Marseille had 80% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.