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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 19.9 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reims 0–2 Saint Etienne | 1.91–0.66 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Won against the xG: Saint Etienne |
| Auxerre 1–1 Nantes | 0.43–0.67 | 20% · 44% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Angers 2–1 Strasbourg | 0.75–0.99 | 27% · 33% · 40% | Close call, Angers won |
| Le Havre 1–3 Marseille | 0.96–2.57 | 12% · 16% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
| Rennes 2–0 Nice | 1.18–1.05 | 39% · 29% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Montpellier 1–4 PSG | 0.61–1.50 | 15% · 26% · 59% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Toulouse 1–1 Lens | 1.01–0.79 | 40% · 33% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Brest 2–0 Lille | 1.20–2.06 | 22% · 21% · 57% | Won against the xG: Brest |
| Monaco 2–0 Lyon | 1.16–0.39 | 56% · 32% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.