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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 28.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens 2–1 Lyon | 1.34–1.04 | 44% · 27% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Lille 1–0 Le Havre | 1.26–1.28 | 36% · 27% · 37% | Close call, Lille won |
| Brest 5–1 Angers | 3.82–1.39 | 80% · 11% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Brest |
| Lorient 1–0 Paris FC | 0.55–0.97 | 20% · 35% · 45% | Won against the xG: Lorient |
| Monaco 2–2 Toulouse | 1.17–1.43 | 31% · 26% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| PSG 3–1 Le Mans | 4.25–1.43 | 84% · 9% · 7% | Win in line with xG for PSG |
| Nice 2–1 Strasbourg | 1.25–0.63 | 51% · 30% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Nice |
| Rennes 4–1 Auxerre | 2.56–1.76 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
| Troyes 0–2 Marseille | 1.06–1.30 | 30% · 28% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.