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Most points above xPts: Hertha BSC (+9.9 pts), 1. FC Nürnberg (+8.5 pts), 1. FC Magdeburg (+5.3 pts).
Most points below xPts: Holstein Kiel (−5.5 pts), Hannover 96 (−4.7 pts), Eintracht Braunschweig (−4.6 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 1 | 11 | 22.1 | 12.4 | 21.1 | 31 | +9.9 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | 11 | 21.9 | 13.9 | 19.2 | 16 | −3.2 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | 11 | 21.2 | 17.5 | 16.9 | 19 | +2.1 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 11 | 18.7 | 15.9 | 16.7 | 12 | −4.7 |
| 5 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | 11 | 17.3 | 14.6 | 16.4 | 12 | −4.4 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3 | 11 | 15.5 | 14.4 | 15.9 | 21 | +5.1 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 11 | 15.0 | 13.8 | 15.8 | 17 | +1.2 |
| 8 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 13 | 11 | 17.1 | 16.3 | 15.6 | 11 | −4.6 |
| 9 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 11 | 18.5 | 19.9 | 15.5 | 24 | +8.5 |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 14 | 11 | 18.0 | 17.7 | 15.3 | 11 | −4.3 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 8 | 11 | 15.2 | 15.6 | 15.1 | 14 | −1.1 |
| 12 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 4 | 11 | 15.3 | 16.0 | 14.7 | 20 | +5.3 |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 11 | 14.7 | 17.6 | 13.5 | 8 | −5.5 |
| 14 | Dynamo Dresden | 15 | 11 | 15.7 | 19.3 | 13.5 | 11 | −2.5 |
| 15 | Karlsruher SC | 16 | 11 | 14.0 | 17.8 | 13.3 | 11 | −2.3 |
| 16 | Energie Cottbus | 12 | 11 | 16.9 | 23.5 | 12.7 | 11 | −1.7 |
| 17 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 11 | 13.8 | 18.3 | 12.1 | 12 | −0.1 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 17 | 11 | 11.3 | 17.5 | 11.1 | 9 | −2.1 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.