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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 30.6 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge Aue 2–0 Dynamo Dresden | 1.34–1.19 | 40% · 27% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Erzgebirge Aue |
| VfL Osnabrück 4–2 SpVgg Unterhaching | 4.22–1.37 | 84% · 9% · 7% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
| Hansa Rostock 1–1 Borussia Dortmund II | 0.69–1.28 | 20% · 29% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Dortmund II had 51% |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 0–0 Arminia Bielefeld | 0.54–0.54 | 28% · 45% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Saarbrücken 2–3 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3.04–2.29 | 54% · 17% · 29% | Won against the xG: FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| SV Sandhausen 0–1 Hannover 96 II | 0.60–1.02 | 21% · 34% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 II |
| Energie Cottbus 2–1 Alemannia Aachen | 1.21–1.06 | 39% · 28% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| TSV 1860 München 1–3 FC Viktoria Köln | 1.72–1.47 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Close call, FC Viktoria Köln won |
| Verl 1–1 Waldhof Mannheim | 2.17–1.34 | 56% · 20% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Verl had 56% |
| Stuttgart II 2–2 SV Wehen | 0.31–3.23 | 2% · 7% · 92% | Draw against the xG: SV Wehen had 92% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.