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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 29.3 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund II 0–1 Stuttgart II | 0.62–1.12 | 20% · 32% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Stuttgart II |
| Alemannia Aachen 4–2 FC Saarbrücken | 3.22–1.06 | 79% · 12% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Alemannia Aachen |
| Hansa Rostock 1–3 Energie Cottbus | 0.48–1.16 | 15% · 32% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| Verl 2–2 TSV 1860 München | 2.80–0.30 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Verl had 89% |
| Waldhof Mannheim 1–0 Dynamo Dresden | 0.57–0.99 | 21% · 35% · 45% | Won against the xG: Waldhof Mannheim |
| Erzgebirge Aue 2–3 SV Sandhausen | 1.67–1.95 | 34% · 22% · 45% | Win in line with xG for SV Sandhausen |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 2–3 SV Wehen | 1.38–2.88 | 16% · 16% · 68% | Win in line with xG for SV Wehen |
| SpVgg Unterhaching 1–2 Arminia Bielefeld | 0.35–3.11 | 2% · 8% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 3–1 VfL Osnabrück | 2.56–0.41 | 84% · 12% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Rot-Weiß Essen |
| FC Viktoria Köln 2–0 Hannover 96 II | 1.89–0.78 | 64% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.