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| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3 | 2 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 4 | −0.7 |
| 2 | SV Meppen | 5 | 2 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 4 | −0.7 |
| 3 | Fortuna Köln | 15 | 3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 1 | −3.3 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim II | 19 | 2 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 0 | −4.2 |
| 5 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 6 | 2 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 6 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 6.8 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| 7 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 9 | 2 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3 | −0.4 |
| 8 | Hansa Rostock | 11 | 2 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3 | −0.1 |
| 9 | FC Viktoria Köln | 4 | 2 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 10 | Waldhof Mannheim | 10 | 2 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 11 | SV Wehen | 7 | 1 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 12 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 8 | 1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 13 | Verl | 12 | 2 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 14 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 16 | 2 | 4.0 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 1 | −0.8 |
| 15 | Havelse | 17 | 2 | 3.7 | 7.0 | 1.7 | 1 | −0.7 |
| 16 | FC Saarbrücken | 13 | 2 | 3.2 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1 | −0.7 |
| 17 | Würzburger Kickers | 14 | 2 | 3.7 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1 | −0.6 |
| 18 | Stuttgart II | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 7 | +5.6 |
| 19 | Alemannia Aachen | 20 | 1 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0 | −0.9 |
| 20 | Preußen Münster | 18 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0 | −0.8 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.