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Most points above xPts: Borussia Dortmund (+6.0 pts), SV Elversberg (+4.2 pts), Hamburger SV (+3.3 pts).
Most points below xPts: Borussia Mönchengladbach (−5.9 pts), Mainz 05 (−4.3 pts), FC Cologne (−3.6 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 9 | 31.2 | 7.9 | 23.6 | 21 | −2.6 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 9 | 21.6 | 13.4 | 16.6 | 18 | +1.4 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 9 | 16.4 | 10.6 | 16.3 | 19 | +2.7 |
| 4 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 9 | 14.2 | 12.1 | 15.0 | 21 | +6.0 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 9 | 16.5 | 13.0 | 14.4 | 12 | −2.4 |
| 6 | Mainz 05 | 12 | 9 | 17.6 | 15.0 | 14.3 | 10 | −4.3 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 9 | 18.1 | 15.9 | 14.3 | 16 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 9 | 14.9 | 13.8 | 12.9 | 15 | +2.1 |
| 9 | FC Cologne | 15 | 9 | 14.1 | 14.2 | 12.6 | 9 | −3.6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 10 | 9 | 15.9 | 18.1 | 11.9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 9 | 17.3 | 20.6 | 11.0 | 12 | +1.0 |
| 12 | FC Augsburg | 14 | 9 | 18.7 | 22.8 | 10.7 | 9 | −1.7 |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 18 | 9 | 14.5 | 19.8 | 9.9 | 4 | −5.9 |
| 14 | Paderborn | 13 | 9 | 10.4 | 14.7 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| 15 | SV Elversberg | 7 | 9 | 12.6 | 18.9 | 8.8 | 13 | +4.2 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 11 | 9 | 10.4 | 16.9 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 16 | 9 | 9.0 | 17.6 | 8.5 | 7 | −1.5 |
| 18 | Schalke 04 | 17 | 9 | 10.4 | 18.2 | 7.9 | 6 | −1.9 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.