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7 of 7 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.9 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich W 3–1 Werder Bremen W | 2.16–1.05 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich W |
| Eintracht Frankfurt W 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W | 1.03–1.32 | 29% · 28% · 43% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg W |
| SC Freiburg W 0–4 Nürnberg W | 1.02–2.31 | 15% · 18% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Nürnberg W |
| Bayer Leverkusen W 2–0 Hamburger SV W | 2.96–1.25 | 72% · 15% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen W |
| Union Berlin W 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim W | 1.55–2.71 | 20% · 17% · 62% | Draw against the xG: 1899 Hoffenheim W had 62% |
| Mainz 05 W 1–3 Stuttgart W | 1.11–1.59 | 27% · 25% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Stuttgart W |
| FC Koln W 3–1 RB Leipzig W | 2.29–0.52 | 78% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for FC Koln W |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.