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7 of 7 matches with xG: 18 goals from 15.9 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| OFI 3–0 Larisa | 1.00–0.55 | 46% · 35% · 20% | Win in line with xG for OFI |
| Atromitos 1–0 Panetolikos | 0.96–1.21 | 29% · 29% · 42% | Close call, Atromitos won |
| Kifisia 1–0 Levadiakos | 0.87–0.78 | 35% · 35% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Kifisia |
| Panserraikos 1–2 Olympiacos | 0.19–2.36 | 2% · 12% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Olympiacos |
| Volos NFC 2–2 AEK Athens | 1.07–1.43 | 28% · 26% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| PAOK 2–0 Asteras Tripolis | 2.33–0.10 | 88% · 11% · 1% | Win in line with xG for PAOK |
| Panathinaikos 3–1 Aris Thessaloniki | 2.36–0.71 | 74% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Panathinaikos |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.