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7 of 7 matches with xG: 12 goals from 21.3 xG (0.56 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis 1–2 Panathinaikos | 0.46–2.52 | 5% · 13% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Panathinaikos |
| AEK Athens 3–0 Kifisia | 2.23–1.09 | 63% · 19% · 17% | Win in line with xG for AEK Athens |
| Levadiakos 1–0 Atromitos | 1.40–1.86 | 29% · 23% · 48% | Won against the xG: Levadiakos |
| Panetolikos 0–0 Panserraikos | 1.29–0.52 | 56% · 29% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Panetolikos had 56% |
| Aris Thessaloniki 0–2 OFI | 2.10–1.41 | 53% · 21% · 26% | Won against the xG: OFI |
| Volos NFC 2–1 PAOK | 2.61–0.79 | 76% · 15% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Volos NFC |
| Olympiacos 0–0 Larisa | 2.72–0.29 | 88% · 10% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Olympiacos had 88% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.