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Most points above xPts: Panathinaikos (+5.6 pts), Olympiacos (+5.1 pts), Aris Thessaloniki (+4.9 pts).
Most points below xPts: Levadiakos (−5.3 pts), Volos NFC (−4.4 pts), Asteras Tripolis (−4.2 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens | 3 | 9 | 19.4 | 6.5 | 19.2 | 20 | +0.8 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 1 | 10 | 15.2 | 7.8 | 17.9 | 23 | +5.1 |
| 3 | PAOK | 4 | 10 | 18.6 | 14.7 | 16.7 | 19 | +2.3 |
| 4 | Kifisia | 7 | 9 | 11.5 | 5.9 | 16.1 | 14 | −2.1 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 8 | 17.1 | 7.2 | 15.4 | 21 | +5.6 |
| 6 | Aris Thessaloniki | 5 | 10 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 14.1 | 19 | +4.9 |
| 7 | OFI | 6 | 10 | 13.1 | 12.6 | 14.0 | 17 | +3.0 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 8 | 10 | 13.7 | 13.0 | 13.9 | 12 | −1.9 |
| 9 | Levadiakos | 12 | 10 | 8.1 | 11.1 | 11.3 | 6 | −5.3 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis | 11 | 10 | 9.0 | 15.4 | 11.2 | 7 | −4.2 |
| 11 | Atromitos | 13 | 8 | 6.9 | 11.0 | 8.3 | 5 | −3.3 |
| 12 | Panetolikos | 10 | 9 | 8.3 | 16.5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| 13 | Volos NFC | 14 | 10 | 7.4 | 17.9 | 7.4 | 3 | −4.4 |
| 14 | Iraklis 1908 | 9 | 9 | 6.6 | 15.3 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.