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6 of 6 matches with xG: 11 goals from 17.4 xG (0.63 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest 1–0 Vasas | 1.13–1.75 | 25% · 24% · 52% | Won against the xG: MTK Budapest |
| Nyiregyhaza 0–1 Budapest Honved | 1.16–0.90 | 42% · 30% · 28% | Close call, Budapest Honved won |
| Paks 1–2 Gyori ETO FC | 1.69–1.98 | 33% · 21% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Gyori ETO FC |
| Ujpest 0–1 Puskas Academy | 2.15–0.70 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Won against the xG: Puskas Academy |
| Debreceni VSC 3–0 Zalaegerszegi TE | 1.27–1.01 | 42% · 28% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Debreceni VSC |
| Kisvarda FC 1–1 Ferencvarosi TC | 0.94–2.74 | 10% · 15% · 75% | Draw against the xG: Ferencvarosi TC had 75% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.