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5 of 5 matches with xG: 18 goals from 12.0 xG (1.50 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City 7–2 Waterford | 2.33–0.85 | 70% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Derry City |
| Drogheda United 1–0 Galway United | 0.87–1.41 | 23% · 27% · 50% | Won against the xG: Drogheda United |
| Shelbourne 3–1 Cork City | 1.66–0.14 | 77% · 21% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Shelbourne |
| St Patrick's Athl. 0–0 Bohemians | 0.68–0.54 | 34% · 41% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sligo Rovers 2–2 Shamrock Rovers | 0.55–2.95 | 4% · 10% · 85% | Draw against the xG: Shamrock Rovers had 85% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.