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5 of 5 matches with xG: 20 goals from 14.9 xG (1.34 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drogheda United 2–0 Galway United | 1.02–0.96 | 36% · 31% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Drogheda United |
| Dundalk 3–1 Shamrock Rovers | 2.72–0.83 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Dundalk |
| Shelbourne 2–3 Waterford | 1.41–1.79 | 30% · 23% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Waterford |
| Sligo Rovers 2–2 Derry City | 1.36–0.94 | 47% · 28% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| St Patrick's Athl. 2–3 Bohemians | 1.38–2.48 | 20% · 18% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Bohemians |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.