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Most points above xPts: Lazio (+8.5 pts), Monza (+6.7 pts), Napoli (+6.2 pts).
Most points below xPts: Spezia (−13.2 pts), Lecce (−11.1 pts), Sampdoria (−6.9 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 3 | 20 | 37.6 | 19.2 | 37.8 | 35 | −2.8 |
| 2 | Napoli | 1 | 20 | 28.3 | 15.1 | 36.8 | 43 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Fiorentina | 5 | 20 | 30.5 | 21.6 | 33.6 | 33 | −0.6 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 11 | 20 | 27.5 | 19.7 | 32.8 | 29 | −3.8 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 20 | 30.1 | 21.9 | 32.7 | 35 | +2.3 |
| 6 | Lazio | 2 | 20 | 28.8 | 22.1 | 31.5 | 40 | +8.5 |
| 7 | AC Milan | 7 | 20 | 29.2 | 22.3 | 31.4 | 32 | +0.6 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 9 | 20 | 28.3 | 23.1 | 29.9 | 30 | +0.1 |
| 9 | Torino | 10 | 20 | 22.5 | 17.8 | 29.8 | 30 | +0.2 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 12 | 20 | 28.9 | 24.8 | 29.6 | 29 | −0.6 |
| 11 | Lecce | 18 | 20 | 21.2 | 20.8 | 27.1 | 16 | −11.1 |
| 12 | Bologna | 6 | 20 | 23.4 | 24.4 | 26.3 | 32 | +5.7 |
| 13 | Spezia | 19 | 21 | 26.1 | 31.4 | 26.2 | 13 | −13.2 |
| 14 | Monza | 8 | 20 | 23.4 | 29.4 | 24.3 | 31 | +6.7 |
| 15 | Udinese | 15 | 20 | 23.9 | 29.4 | 24.2 | 21 | −3.2 |
| 16 | Empoli | 16 | 20 | 22.7 | 30.3 | 23.0 | 21 | −2.0 |
| 17 | Hellas Verona | 13 | 21 | 17.9 | 29.1 | 21.4 | 25 | +3.6 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 17 | 20 | 20.0 | 33.7 | 18.9 | 20 | +1.1 |
| 19 | Salernitana | 14 | 20 | 18.2 | 33.2 | 18.5 | 24 | +5.5 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 20 | 20 | 20.2 | 39.4 | 16.9 | 10 | −6.9 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.