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Most points above xPts: Inter (+15.2 pts), AC Milan (+10.6 pts), Bologna (+8.9 pts).
Most points below xPts: Napoli (−13.2 pts), Udinese (−11.6 pts), Sassuolo (−10.4 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 1 | 38 | 79.2 | 31.6 | 78.8 | 94 | +15.2 |
| 2 | Juventus | 3 | 38 | 55.9 | 30.4 | 68.5 | 71 | +2.5 |
| 3 | Napoli | 9 | 38 | 62.3 | 39.3 | 66.2 | 53 | −13.2 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 2 | 38 | 67.0 | 46.3 | 64.4 | 75 | +10.6 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 4 | 38 | 58.8 | 41.9 | 61.8 | 69 | +7.2 |
| 6 | Bologna | 5 | 38 | 48.6 | 37.4 | 59.1 | 68 | +8.9 |
| 7 | AS Roma | 6 | 38 | 52.2 | 42.6 | 58.9 | 63 | +4.1 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 8 | 38 | 52.9 | 48.8 | 56.1 | 60 | +3.9 |
| 9 | Lazio | 7 | 38 | 47.3 | 43.2 | 55.0 | 61 | +6.0 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 38 | 38.4 | 37.7 | 52.8 | 53 | +0.2 |
| 11 | Udinese | 15 | 38 | 40.6 | 49.6 | 48.6 | 37 | −11.6 |
| 12 | Genoa | 11 | 38 | 36.3 | 43.3 | 46.1 | 49 | +2.9 |
| 13 | Lecce | 14 | 38 | 44.0 | 54.8 | 45.1 | 38 | −7.1 |
| 14 | Frosinone | 18 | 38 | 46.1 | 59.5 | 45.0 | 35 | −10.0 |
| 15 | Hellas Verona | 13 | 38 | 38.4 | 49.3 | 44.8 | 38 | −6.8 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 17 | 38 | 43.5 | 55.3 | 44.4 | 36 | −8.4 |
| 17 | Monza | 12 | 38 | 40.2 | 56.9 | 41.6 | 45 | +3.4 |
| 18 | Empoli | 16 | 38 | 36.8 | 54.3 | 40.9 | 36 | −4.9 |
| 19 | Sassuolo | 19 | 38 | 40.5 | 62.1 | 40.4 | 30 | −10.4 |
| 20 | Salernitana | 20 | 38 | 30.6 | 75.4 | 26.7 | 17 | −9.7 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.