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Most points above xPts: Napoli (+14.7 pts), AS Roma (+10.1 pts), Inter (+10.0 pts).
Most points below xPts: Monza (−17.3 pts), Venezia (−10.5 pts), Parma (−9.6 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 2 | 37 | 67.4 | 35.5 | 71.0 | 81 | +10.0 |
| 2 | Atalanta | 3 | 38 | 66.5 | 39.7 | 68.3 | 74 | +5.7 |
| 3 | Napoli | 1 | 38 | 54.3 | 30.6 | 67.3 | 82 | +14.7 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | 38 | 63.5 | 41.0 | 66.1 | 63 | −3.1 |
| 5 | Lazio | 6 | 38 | 57.5 | 38.6 | 64.3 | 65 | +0.7 |
| 6 | Juventus | 4 | 38 | 51.5 | 35.6 | 64.0 | 70 | +6.0 |
| 7 | Bologna | 9 | 38 | 49.5 | 37.5 | 59.0 | 62 | +3.0 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 5 | 38 | 53.7 | 42.0 | 58.9 | 69 | +10.1 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 8 | 37 | 48.5 | 42.7 | 53.6 | 62 | +8.4 |
| 10 | Como | 10 | 38 | 44.9 | 43.7 | 53.3 | 49 | −4.3 |
| 11 | Genoa | 13 | 38 | 37.8 | 47.7 | 45.7 | 43 | −2.7 |
| 12 | Parma | 15 | 38 | 44.9 | 57.6 | 45.6 | 36 | −9.6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 12 | 38 | 40.0 | 52.5 | 44.6 | 44 | −0.6 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 16 | 38 | 42.8 | 56.6 | 44.5 | 36 | −8.5 |
| 15 | Torino | 11 | 38 | 35.2 | 51.6 | 41.2 | 44 | +2.8 |
| 16 | Venezia | 19 | 38 | 37.4 | 57.5 | 39.5 | 29 | −10.5 |
| 17 | Hellas Verona | 14 | 38 | 34.5 | 54.2 | 39.4 | 37 | −2.4 |
| 18 | Empoli | 18 | 38 | 32.6 | 50.4 | 39.2 | 31 | −8.2 |
| 19 | Lecce | 17 | 38 | 34.8 | 57.7 | 39.1 | 34 | −5.1 |
| 20 | Monza | 20 | 38 | 31.0 | 55.5 | 35.3 | 18 | −17.3 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.