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Most points above xPts: Napoli (+15.8 pts), Inter (+12.3 pts), AS Roma (+10.2 pts).
Most points below xPts: Pisa (−23.9 pts), Hellas Verona (−22.1 pts), Fiorentina (−11.7 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 1 | 38 | 72.2 | 34.8 | 74.7 | 87 | +12.3 |
| 2 | Juventus | 6 | 38 | 68.9 | 33.0 | 72.9 | 69 | −3.9 |
| 3 | Como | 4 | 38 | 62.0 | 33.9 | 67.6 | 71 | +3.4 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 3 | 38 | 55.1 | 39.3 | 62.8 | 73 | +10.2 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 7 | 38 | 57.9 | 42.6 | 62.5 | 59 | −3.5 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 5 | 38 | 60.6 | 44.2 | 62.5 | 70 | +7.5 |
| 7 | Napoli | 2 | 38 | 51.3 | 38.4 | 60.2 | 76 | +15.8 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 15 | 38 | 53.0 | 50.3 | 53.7 | 42 | −11.7 |
| 9 | Bologna | 8 | 38 | 44.4 | 45.7 | 51.7 | 56 | +4.3 |
| 10 | Genoa | 16 | 38 | 45.4 | 48.6 | 49.2 | 41 | −8.2 |
| 11 | Torino | 13 | 38 | 45.8 | 54.0 | 46.9 | 45 | −1.9 |
| 12 | Lazio | 9 | 38 | 42.6 | 47.7 | 46.9 | 54 | +7.1 |
| 13 | Udinese | 10 | 38 | 42.0 | 52.5 | 46.1 | 50 | +3.9 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 11 | 38 | 42.5 | 55.7 | 45.1 | 49 | +3.9 |
| 15 | Hellas Verona | 19 | 38 | 35.6 | 50.4 | 43.1 | 21 | −22.1 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 14 | 38 | 38.4 | 53.2 | 43.0 | 43 | +0.0 |
| 17 | Pisa | 20 | 38 | 39.8 | 59.4 | 41.9 | 18 | −23.9 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 18 | 38 | 35.4 | 57.8 | 39.5 | 34 | −5.5 |
| 19 | Parma | 12 | 38 | 32.0 | 56.8 | 38.1 | 45 | +6.9 |
| 20 | Lecce | 17 | 38 | 31.2 | 57.8 | 37.2 | 38 | +0.8 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.