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Most points above xPts: Frosinone (+18.2 pts), Monza (+9.4 pts), Padova (+8.6 pts).
Most points below xPts: Modena (−14.4 pts), Cesena (−12.2 pts), Spezia (−10.1 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 2 | 25 | 59.5 | 22.3 | 53.9 | 60 | +6.1 |
| 2 | Monza | 3 | 30 | 46.2 | 30.4 | 49.6 | 59 | +9.4 |
| 3 | Palermo | 5 | 28 | 46.1 | 34.6 | 44.5 | 50 | +5.5 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 1 | 27 | 50.2 | 38.1 | 43.8 | 62 | +18.2 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 4 | 30 | 43.8 | 42.5 | 43.3 | 51 | +7.7 |
| 6 | Modena | 13 | 28 | 38.0 | 32.2 | 42.4 | 28 | −14.4 |
| 7 | Empoli | 10 | 27 | 39.5 | 34.7 | 39.7 | 30 | −9.7 |
| 8 | Mantova | 6 | 26 | 35.9 | 36.0 | 37.8 | 37 | −0.8 |
| 9 | Cesena | 19 | 26 | 39.8 | 36.4 | 37.2 | 25 | −12.2 |
| 10 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 27 | 31.4 | 32.3 | 35.8 | 35 | −0.8 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 12 | 27 | 35.2 | 42.7 | 35.2 | 29 | −6.2 |
| 12 | Spezia | 18 | 25 | 38.2 | 39.8 | 35.1 | 25 | −10.1 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 14 | 26 | 27.6 | 31.3 | 33.9 | 28 | −5.9 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 8 | 25 | 25.9 | 27.6 | 32.9 | 33 | +0.1 |
| 15 | Virtus Entella | 15 | 26 | 30.1 | 37.4 | 32.2 | 28 | −4.2 |
| 16 | Pescara | 17 | 24 | 35.1 | 39.4 | 31.3 | 27 | −4.3 |
| 17 | Avellino | 9 | 28 | 26.3 | 41.6 | 29.2 | 33 | +3.8 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 20 | 25 | 24.1 | 34.0 | 27.5 | 24 | −3.5 |
| 19 | Bari | 16 | 28 | 25.3 | 50.2 | 25.7 | 28 | +2.3 |
| 20 | Padova | 11 | 22 | 22.2 | 37.0 | 21.4 | 30 | +8.6 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.