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Most points above xPts: Palermo (+9.2 pts), Padova (+6.3 pts), Mantova (+3.6 pts).
Most points below xPts: Catanzaro (−6.4 pts), Carrarese (−5.5 pts), Virtus Entella (−4.7 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Modena | 2 | 11 | 16.4 | 8.5 | 20.6 | 23 | +2.4 |
| 2 | Pisa | 8 | 11 | 20.4 | 13.6 | 19.4 | 16 | −3.4 |
| 3 | Benevento | 7 | 11 | 17.5 | 12.3 | 18.6 | 16 | −2.6 |
| 4 | Hellas Verona | 5 | 11 | 18.4 | 12.8 | 18.2 | 16 | −2.2 |
| 5 | Palermo | 1 | 11 | 22.4 | 17.1 | 17.8 | 27 | +9.2 |
| 6 | Ascoli | 3 | 11 | 17.0 | 13.7 | 16.9 | 20 | +3.1 |
| 7 | Cesena | 13 | 11 | 14.2 | 13.0 | 15.8 | 15 | −0.8 |
| 8 | Avellino | 6 | 11 | 14.4 | 13.3 | 15.8 | 16 | +0.2 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 17 | 11 | 14.1 | 13.5 | 15.5 | 10 | −5.5 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 10 | 11 | 14.7 | 13.4 | 15.4 | 15 | −0.4 |
| 11 | Mantova | 4 | 11 | 16.0 | 15.3 | 15.4 | 19 | +3.6 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 14 | 11 | 14.6 | 14.0 | 15.2 | 11 | −4.2 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 11 | 13.8 | 13.4 | 14.9 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 16 | 11 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 14.7 | 10 | −4.7 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 11 | 11 | 11.8 | 16.2 | 12.9 | 15 | +2.1 |
| 16 | Arezzo | 15 | 11 | 11.1 | 17.4 | 12.8 | 11 | −1.8 |
| 17 | Catanzaro | 20 | 11 | 14.4 | 20.5 | 12.4 | 6 | −6.4 |
| 18 | Vicenza Virtus | 19 | 11 | 12.6 | 18.7 | 11.7 | 9 | −2.7 |
| 19 | Empoli | 18 | 11 | 10.8 | 17.8 | 11.0 | 9 | −2.0 |
| 20 | Padova | 12 | 11 | 10.9 | 21.2 | 8.7 | 15 | +6.3 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.