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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 22.7 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Albirex Niigata | 0.44–0.48 | 24% · 49% · 27% | Close call, Albirex Niigata won |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.83–3.18 | 20% · 16% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Yokohama FC | 1.45–1.09 | 45% · 26% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Tokyo 1–3 Kashima | 0.75–0.98 | 27% · 33% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.84–0.50 | 41% · 38% · 20% | Won against the xG: Avispa Fukuoka |
| Kyoto Sanga 2–1 Nagoya Grampus | 2.32–0.55 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga |
| Gamba Osaka 3–1 Kashiwa Reysol | 1.16–1.20 | 35% · 28% · 37% | Close call, Gamba Osaka won |
| Cerezo Osaka 2–0 Urawa | 2.05–1.30 | 55% · 21% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu | 1.60–1.02 | 51% · 25% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.