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9 of 9 matches with xG: 16 goals from 22.3 xG (0.72 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consadole Sapporo 0–2 Urawa | 0.58–1.31 | 16% · 29% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Urawa |
| Kashima 2–1 Yokohama FC | 3.20–1.32 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Shonan Bellmare 0–1 FC Tokyo | 0.18–1.47 | 4% · 25% · 71% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Albirex Niigata 1–0 Cerezo Osaka | 1.25–0.58 | 53% · 30% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Albirex Niigata |
| Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol | 1.16–1.01 | 39% · 29% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kyoto Sanga 3–1 Yokohama F. Marinos | 2.59–1.84 | 54% · 19% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga |
| Gamba Osaka 0–1 Vissel Kobe | 0.98–0.91 | 36% · 32% · 32% | Close call, Vissel Kobe won |
| Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.09–1.81 | 2% · 17% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Sagan Tosu 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale | 0.21–1.84 | 4% · 18% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.