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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 25.4 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consadole Sapporo 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol | 1.34–1.59 | 32% · 24% · 43% | Close call, Consadole Sapporo won |
| Kashima 3–1 Machida Zelvia | 0.91–0.74 | 38% · 34% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Urawa 0–0 Albirex Niigata | 0.94–0.16 | 55% · 38% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Urawa had 55% |
| FC Tokyo 3–0 Cerezo Osaka | 2.70–2.17 | 50% · 18% · 32% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Kawasaki Frontale 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka | 1.43–1.44 | 37% · 25% · 38% | Close call, Kawasaki Frontale won |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 0–2 Nagoya Grampus | 0.28–0.89 | 11% · 39% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Nagoya Grampus |
| Kyoto Sanga 0–0 Tokyo Verdy | 0.78–0.94 | 29% · 34% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Gamba Osaka 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2.50–1.35 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Gamba Osaka |
| Vissel Kobe 3–0 Shonan Bellmare | 1.57–0.10 | 76% · 22% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Sagan Tosu 3–0 Jubilo Iwata | 2.48–1.04 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Sagan Tosu |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.