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Most points above xPts: Kashima (+13.0 pts), Gamba Osaka (+9.2 pts), Avispa Fukuoka (+6.2 pts).
Most points below xPts: Kashiwa Reysol (−13.3 pts), Sagan Tosu (−10.0 pts), Shonan Bellmare (−6.2 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2 | 35 | 68.7 | 37.1 | 66.3 | 61 | −5.3 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 33 | 51.2 | 28.7 | 59.6 | 65 | +5.4 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 5 | 34 | 46.1 | 36.4 | 53.0 | 56 | +3.0 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 33 | 60.8 | 52.0 | 50.5 | 49 | −1.5 |
| 5 | Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 34 | 51.5 | 48.3 | 49.3 | 44 | −5.3 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 33 | 58.0 | 49.4 | 48.9 | 46 | −2.9 |
| 7 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 33 | 47.0 | 41.4 | 47.8 | 57 | +9.2 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 17 | 33 | 45.0 | 42.2 | 47.3 | 34 | −13.3 |
| 9 | Shonan Bellmare | 14 | 33 | 48.8 | 45.3 | 47.2 | 41 | −6.2 |
| 10 | Kashima | 3 | 31 | 41.1 | 37.4 | 46.0 | 59 | +13.0 |
| 11 | Urawa | 13 | 34 | 45.0 | 47.5 | 45.8 | 41 | −4.8 |
| 12 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 33 | 38.8 | 38.1 | 45.6 | 45 | −0.6 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 33 | 43.1 | 46.6 | 42.9 | 48 | +5.1 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 32 | 40.5 | 43.3 | 41.3 | 44 | +2.7 |
| 15 | Albirex Niigata | 16 | 32 | 40.0 | 45.9 | 39.7 | 37 | −2.7 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 15 | 33 | 42.6 | 53.1 | 39.2 | 40 | +0.8 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 20 | 32 | 41.1 | 56.5 | 36.0 | 26 | −10.0 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 33 | 28.1 | 42.5 | 35.8 | 42 | +6.2 |
| 19 | Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 33 | 37.4 | 58.3 | 34.5 | 33 | −1.5 |
| 20 | Jubilo Iwata | 19 | 33 | 39.3 | 64.0 | 33.6 | 32 | −1.6 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.