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10 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 25.9 xG (0.66 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia 3–0 Shimizu S-pulse | 3.14–0.93 | 81% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
| Fagiano Okayama 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.63–1.53 | 15% · 26% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 FC Tokyo | 0.97–1.55 | 24% · 26% · 51% | Won against the xG: Kashiwa Reysol |
| Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Kashima | 1.98–1.01 | 60% · 21% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Yokohama FC 0–1 Yokohama F. Marinos | 0.47–1.20 | 15% · 31% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Tokyo Verdy | 0.25–1.23 | 7% · 30% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Tokyo Verdy had 62% |
| Kyoto Sanga 2–1 Albirex Niigata | 1.68–1.46 | 43% · 24% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga |
| Cerezo Osaka 0–1 Gamba Osaka | 2.53–2.12 | 48% · 19% · 33% | Close call, Gamba Osaka won |
| Vissel Kobe 4–0 Shonan Bellmare | 1.21–0.70 | 48% · 30% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Urawa 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.64–0.71 | 28% · 39% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.