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Most points above xPts: Kashima (+20.3 pts), Kyoto Sanga (+17.1 pts), Kashiwa Reysol (+16.7 pts).
Most points below xPts: Albirex Niigata (−22.5 pts), Yokohama FC (−12.6 pts), Nagoya Grampus (−12.4 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 5 | 33 | 54.5 | 33.9 | 57.1 | 58 | +0.9 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 35 | 47.4 | 33.9 | 56.5 | 62 | +5.5 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 7 | 36 | 48.5 | 37.4 | 56.3 | 57 | +0.7 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 36 | 56.9 | 46.4 | 55.2 | 57 | +1.8 |
| 5 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 36 | 61.6 | 53.7 | 55.1 | 51 | −4.1 |
| 6 | Avispa Fukuoka | 11 | 36 | 44.7 | 40.6 | 52.3 | 47 | −5.3 |
| 7 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 35 | 47.9 | 39.3 | 52.3 | 69 | +16.7 |
| 8 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 35 | 50.2 | 46.6 | 50.1 | 45 | −5.1 |
| 9 | Nagoya Grampus | 15 | 36 | 46.4 | 46.0 | 49.4 | 37 | −12.4 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 34 | 45.6 | 43.1 | 47.3 | 51 | +3.7 |
| 11 | Kashima | 2 | 33 | 42.7 | 40.8 | 46.7 | 67 | +20.3 |
| 12 | Urawa | 8 | 37 | 43.1 | 54.1 | 46.5 | 56 | +9.5 |
| 13 | Albirex Niigata | 20 | 35 | 42.6 | 50.3 | 45.5 | 23 | −22.5 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 36 | 45.5 | 52.4 | 44.9 | 62 | +17.1 |
| 15 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 34 | 33.0 | 37.9 | 43.6 | 31 | −12.6 |
| 16 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 35 | 29.7 | 34.6 | 43.5 | 40 | −3.5 |
| 17 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 36 | 42.2 | 56.4 | 42.0 | 44 | +2.0 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 17 | 31 | 36.9 | 40.9 | 39.4 | 34 | −5.4 |
| 19 | Fagiano Okayama | 16 | 35 | 36.0 | 50.3 | 38.9 | 36 | −2.9 |
| 20 | Shonan Bellmare | 19 | 34 | 39.7 | 56.4 | 36.9 | 30 | −6.9 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.