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4 of 5 matches with xG: 12 goals from 14.6 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grobiņa 1–2 FK Liepaja | 2.75–1.21 | 70% · 16% · 14% | Won against the xG: FK Liepaja |
| FS Jelgava 4–0 Ogre United | 2.85–0.43 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for FS Jelgava |
| Super Nova 1–1 BFC Daugavpils | 3.34–1.40 | 75% · 13% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Super Nova had 75% |
| Tukums 1–2 Auda | 1.19–1.43 | 31% · 26% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Auda |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.