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Most points above xPts: BFC Daugavpils (+7.1 pts), Auda (+1.6 pts), Rīgas FS (+1.0 pts).
Most points below xPts: Grobiņa (−3.0 pts), Ogre United (−2.4 pts), Tukums (−1.7 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auda | 2 | 5 | 11.8 | 5.7 | 10.4 | 12 | +1.6 |
| 2 | Riga | 3 | 4 | 11.1 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 10 | −0.3 |
| 3 | Rīgas FS | 4 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 5 | 4 | 8.7 | 7.3 | 6.2 | 5 | −1.2 |
| 5 | Grobiņa | 8 | 5 | 8.2 | 10.6 | 6.0 | 3 | −3.0 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 1 | 5 | 7.0 | 9.5 | 5.9 | 13 | +7.1 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 6 | 5 | 7.9 | 10.8 | 5.1 | 5 | −0.1 |
| 8 | FS Jelgava | 7 | 3 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 3 | −1.5 |
| 9 | Ogre United | 10 | 5 | 5.2 | 12.8 | 3.4 | 1 | −2.4 |
| 10 | Tukums | 9 | 5 | 3.3 | 11.4 | 2.7 | 1 | −1.7 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.