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8 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 24.1 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Juarez 1–2 Club Queretaro | 2.17–1.45 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Won against the xG: Club Queretaro |
| Club Tijuana 2–0 Atlas | 2.69–0.27 | 88% · 10% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Club Tijuana |
| Mazatlán 1–1 Necaxa | 1.30–2.85 | 15% · 16% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Necaxa had 69% |
| Tigres UANL 3–1 Atletico San Luis | 2.30–1.08 | 65% · 19% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Tigres UANL |
| Guadalajara Chivas 4–2 Monterrey | 1.86–0.56 | 69% · 21% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Guadalajara Chivas |
| Leon 1–2 Puebla | 0.92–0.93 | 34% · 32% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Puebla |
| Toluca 2–0 Club America | 1.63–0.75 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Toluca |
| Cruz Azul 2–3 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 0.79–2.57 | 9% · 15% · 76% | Win in line with xG for U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.