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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 23.3 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL 7–0 Puebla | 2.48–0.53 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Tigres UANL |
| Club America 1–0 Club Queretaro | 2.19–0.65 | 73% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Club America |
| Mazatlán 2–2 Club Tijuana | 2.38–1.56 | 56% · 19% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Mazatlán had 56% |
| Atlas 0–3 CF Pachuca | 1.27–0.97 | 43% · 28% · 28% | Close call, CF Pachuca won |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Necaxa | 2.03–0.54 | 73% · 19% · 9% | Draw against the xG: U.N.A.M. - Pumas had 73% |
| Santos Laguna 1–0 Guadalajara Chivas | 0.97–1.45 | 25% · 27% · 48% | Won against the xG: Santos Laguna |
| Leon 1–3 Monterrey | 0.90–2.50 | 11% · 16% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Monterrey |
| FC Juarez 0–2 Toluca | 0.31–0.91 | 12% · 38% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Toluca |
| Atletico San Luis 1–2 Cruz Azul | 0.18–1.53 | 4% · 23% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Cruz Azul |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.