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5 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 18.3 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul 3–3 Toluca | 1.55–1.95 | 31% · 22% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Guadalajara Chivas 0–2 Club Queretaro | 1.27–1.88 | 26% · 23% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Club Queretaro |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2–3 Atletico San Luis | 1.40–2.35 | 22% · 19% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Atletico San Luis |
| Leon 2–1 FC Juarez | 0.74–1.31 | 21% · 29% · 50% | Won against the xG: Leon |
| Necaxa 2–4 Club America | 2.49–3.40 | 28% · 16% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Club America |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.