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6 of 9 matches with xG: 13 goals from 12.1 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Juarez 0–2 CF Pachuca | 0.63–0.93 | 24% · 35% · 41% | Win in line with xG for CF Pachuca |
| Atletico San Luis 0–3 Guadalajara Chivas | 0.72–0.62 | 33% · 39% · 27% | Close call, Guadalajara Chivas won |
| Cruz Azul 1–0 Santos Laguna | 1.54–0.42 | 65% · 25% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Cruz Azul |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3–1 Leon | 1.53–1.12 | 47% · 25% · 28% | Win in line with xG for U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
| Puebla 0–1 Toluca | 0.56–1.95 | 10% · 20% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Toluca |
| Club America 1–1 Club Tijuana | 1.62–0.47 | 66% · 24% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Club America had 66% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.