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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.0 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC 1–1 NAC Breda | 1.52–1.06 | 48% · 26% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Utrecht 0–1 NEC Nijmegen | 1.75–1.53 | 43% · 23% · 34% | Close call, NEC Nijmegen won |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 PEC Zwolle | 1.59–0.82 | 56% · 25% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Sparta Rotterdam had 56% |
| Waalwijk 0–3 PSV Eindhoven | 0.12–2.00 | 2% · 15% · 83% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Heerenveen 1–1 Heracles | 1.23–0.39 | 58% · 30% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Heerenveen had 58% |
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 Willem II | 0.96–0.19 | 55% · 38% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Groningen 1–0 Fortuna Sittard | 1.44–0.36 | 65% · 26% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| Twente 2–6 Feyenoord | 1.04–3.88 | 5% · 8% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Ajax 2–2 AZ Alkmaar | 1.42–0.72 | 54% · 27% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Ajax had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.