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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 29.2 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax 2–0 Twente | 1.74–0.79 | 60% · 23% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Almere City FC | 1.50–0.42 | 64% · 25% · 10% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 64% |
| Fortuna Sittard 0–0 Utrecht | 0.51–0.63 | 25% · 43% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Heracles 1–2 NEC Nijmegen | 1.37–1.37 | 37% · 26% · 37% | Close call, NEC Nijmegen won |
| NAC Breda 1–1 Willem II | 2.72–1.64 | 61% · 18% · 22% | Draw against the xG: NAC Breda had 61% |
| PEC Zwolle 2–0 Groningen | 1.53–0.60 | 60% · 26% · 14% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| Waalwijk 5–3 Go Ahead Eagles | 3.09–4.49 | 24% · 13% · 62% | Won against the xG: Waalwijk |
| Heerenveen 2–0 Feyenoord | 2.07–1.10 | 60% · 21% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 PSV Eindhoven | 0.69–2.92 | 6% · 12% · 82% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.