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Most points above xPts: Utrecht (+13.8 pts), Ajax (+12.1 pts), PSV Eindhoven (+5.5 pts).
Most points below xPts: Almere City FC (−15.2 pts), Waalwijk (−7.8 pts), NEC Nijmegen (−6.9 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 34 | 82.2 | 32.8 | 73.5 | 79 | +5.5 |
| 2 | Ajax | 2 | 34 | 64.0 | 31.3 | 65.9 | 78 | +12.1 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 36 | 59.9 | 36.6 | 63.1 | 63 | −0.1 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 3 | 34 | 61.4 | 35.1 | 62.7 | 68 | +5.3 |
| 5 | Twente | 6 | 36 | 59.4 | 49.9 | 56.0 | 57 | +1.0 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 34 | 55.4 | 46.5 | 51.3 | 51 | −0.3 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 4 | 34 | 49.8 | 44.3 | 50.2 | 64 | +13.8 |
| 8 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 35 | 49.1 | 46.3 | 49.9 | 43 | −6.9 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 9 | 35 | 44.2 | 51.1 | 46.0 | 43 | −3.0 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 34 | 43.0 | 46.8 | 44.9 | 39 | −5.9 |
| 11 | Groningen | 13 | 34 | 38.0 | 47.1 | 43.5 | 39 | −4.5 |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 34 | 41.9 | 50.2 | 41.9 | 41 | −0.9 |
| 13 | Heracles | 14 | 34 | 42.0 | 59.6 | 39.8 | 38 | −1.8 |
| 14 | Almere City FC | 18 | 34 | 34.9 | 52.5 | 37.2 | 22 | −15.2 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 34 | 38.7 | 57.5 | 36.6 | 41 | +4.4 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 15 | 34 | 39.7 | 57.1 | 36.6 | 33 | −3.6 |
| 17 | Waalwijk | 17 | 34 | 42.1 | 69.4 | 32.8 | 25 | −7.8 |
| 18 | Willem II | 16 | 34 | 25.9 | 57.5 | 26.6 | 26 | −0.6 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.