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Most points above xPts: PSV Eindhoven (+16.6 pts), Ajax (+6.4 pts), NEC Nijmegen (+4.3 pts).
Most points below xPts: Heracles (−12.2 pts), NAC Breda (−12.1 pts), Groningen (−6.4 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 33 | 72.1 | 39.1 | 64.4 | 81 | +16.6 |
| 2 | Twente | 5 | 34 | 65.7 | 38.4 | 62.5 | 58 | −4.5 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 33 | 66.9 | 37.3 | 61.2 | 64 | +2.8 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 33 | 62.0 | 42.4 | 56.6 | 51 | −5.6 |
| 5 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 34 | 64.0 | 49.2 | 54.7 | 59 | +4.3 |
| 6 | Groningen | 9 | 35 | 59.7 | 49.2 | 54.4 | 48 | −6.4 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 8 | 35 | 59.7 | 52.0 | 53.8 | 51 | −2.8 |
| 8 | Ajax | 3 | 35 | 56.8 | 46.7 | 53.6 | 60 | +6.4 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 6 | 35 | 52.7 | 47.7 | 53.0 | 54 | +1.0 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 34 | 45.7 | 53.7 | 43.6 | 43 | −0.6 |
| 11 | NAC Breda | 17 | 34 | 41.1 | 52.5 | 41.1 | 29 | −12.1 |
| 12 | Telstar | 15 | 33 | 49.3 | 61.3 | 39.7 | 34 | −5.7 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 12 | 34 | 45.4 | 60.0 | 38.3 | 38 | −0.3 |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 33 | 42.3 | 63.5 | 36.0 | 38 | +2.0 |
| 15 | Fortuna Sittard | 14 | 33 | 40.8 | 59.7 | 35.3 | 36 | +0.7 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 33 | 39.3 | 59.7 | 34.9 | 37 | +2.1 |
| 17 | FC Volendam | 16 | 34 | 36.2 | 60.6 | 33.6 | 32 | −1.6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 18 | 33 | 39.1 | 65.5 | 31.2 | 19 | −12.2 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.