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Most points above xPts: Fortuna Sittard (+8.9 pts), Ajax (+4.1 pts), Heerenveen (+3.7 pts).
Most points below xPts: Willem II (−7.2 pts), Sparta Rotterdam (−4.6 pts), Utrecht (−3.1 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twente | 4 | 12 | 29.2 | 9.2 | 26.7 | 24 | −2.7 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 2 | 12 | 30.9 | 12.6 | 26.0 | 25 | −1.0 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 12 | 30.6 | 16.2 | 24.0 | 26 | +2.0 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 12 | 27.5 | 15.2 | 22.9 | 23 | +0.1 |
| 5 | Ajax | 3 | 12 | 25.8 | 17.9 | 20.9 | 25 | +4.1 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 6 | 12 | 19.1 | 18.0 | 17.3 | 21 | +3.7 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 12 | 19.2 | 18.9 | 16.8 | 17 | +0.2 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 | 23.2 | 23.6 | 16.6 | 12 | −4.6 |
| 9 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 12 | 20.8 | 20.8 | 16.5 | 14 | −2.5 |
| 10 | Groningen | 9 | 12 | 21.9 | 26.6 | 15.1 | 15 | −0.1 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 14 | 12 | 17.5 | 22.5 | 15.1 | 12 | −3.1 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 11 | 11 | 15.7 | 19.6 | 13.3 | 14 | +0.7 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 15 | 12 | 13.8 | 23.4 | 13.1 | 11 | −2.1 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 12 | 12.5 | 19.9 | 12.6 | 12 | −0.6 |
| 15 | Telstar | 16 | 12 | 16.3 | 23.9 | 12.6 | 10 | −2.6 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 12 | 11.8 | 24.8 | 11.1 | 20 | +8.9 |
| 17 | Willem II | 18 | 12 | 14.4 | 26.4 | 10.2 | 3 | −7.2 |
| 18 | ADO Den Haag | 17 | 11 | 12.0 | 22.7 | 9.4 | 8 | −1.4 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.