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7 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 25.6 xG (0.66 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam 2–1 Aalesund | 1.96–1.32 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Ham-Kam |
| ODD Ballklubb 0–2 Bodo/Glimt | 0.86–1.12 | 28% · 31% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Bodo/Glimt |
| Rosenborg 1–2 Lillestrom | 2.04–3.81 | 17% · 13% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Lillestrom |
| Sandefjord 0–0 Stabaek | 1.03–1.96 | 19% · 22% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Stabaek had 59% |
| Stromsgodset 5–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF | 2.00–2.53 | 31% · 19% · 50% | Close call, Stromsgodset won |
| Tromso 0–0 Valerenga | 2.19–0.56 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Tromso had 75% |
| Molde 2–0 Brann | 3.93–0.28 | 96% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Molde |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.