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7 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 20.4 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Molde 2–2 Rosenborg | 2.45–1.08 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Molde had 67% |
| Kristiansund BK 2–4 Bodo/Glimt | 2.80–2.83 | 41% · 17% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Bodo/Glimt |
| Stromsgodset 0–1 Viking | 1.26–0.96 | 43% · 29% · 28% | Close call, Viking won |
| KFUM Oslo 1–4 Fredrikstad | 1.17–0.47 | 54% · 32% · 15% | Won against the xG: Fredrikstad |
| Ham-Kam 2–2 Haugesund | 1.34–1.38 | 36% · 26% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Tromso 4–0 ODD Ballklubb | 1.89–0.70 | 66% · 21% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Tromso |
| Lillestrom 0–2 Brann | 0.65–1.41 | 17% · 27% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Brann |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.